Geoffrey Skelley covers U.S. politics and elections from a data-driven perspective. He is a Senior Elections Analyst at 538, part of ABC News.

My approach & work history.

I use data, like polls and past election results, to analyze developments in U.S. politics and elections. I inform readers by making complex topics more approachable. But I also respect their intelligence by not shying away from engaging with the political science literature and by offering historical comparisons when writing about contemporary American politics.

Senior Elections Analyst

538, part of ABC News

2022 – present

Elections Analyst

FiveThirtyEight, part of ABC News

2018 – 2022

Associate Editor

Sabato’s Crystal Ball,
University of Virginia Center for Politics

2011 – 2018

A sampling of my work.

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A sampling of me on camera.

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My October 2024 overview of the seven key swing states for ABC News.

My November 2021 appearance on Comedy Central’s “The Daily Show with Trevor Noah.”

In October 2020, I took a prescient look at how then-President Donald Trump might try to subvert the 2020 election results.

In April 2023, I examined why Congress is so full of older members.

My Election Day 2022 appearance on ABC News Live.